Warm, Dry Weather to persist into much of November

While today featured cool, moist weather, we are about to undergo another pattern change. Warmth will gradually build as the jet stream moves north of us. The jet stream is a narrow band of very fast winds in the upper atmosphere that helps steer storm systems.

It also usually divides areas of warm (to the south) and cold (to the north). The stronger the jet stream is, the bigger gradient in temperature we see across it.

Typically as we head into late fall we start seeing stronger jet streams, which is why many parts of the southern United States see highly variable temperatures throughout the late fall and winter.

This weekend the Jet Stream will kink, as opposed to moving straight west to east. As it dips in the east, cooler than normal air will plague the east coast for the weekend.

The picture above is just a general idea of what this weekend holds and the jet stream will waver to a more flat west to east flow at times next week. This pattern will direct most cold fronts to our north and east.

We will see the tail end of a cold front Saturday night, but temperatures will still stay above normal even after it weakly passes through.

There’s pretty high confidence in warm weather sticking around for a while as the jet stream will remain well to our north. The latest 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has us in a 70% chance or greater for above average temperatures (shown below).

Don’t put your warm weather clothes away just yet, it looks like it will be a while before we see any substantial cold.