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Trump rallies linked to 30,000 virus cases, 700 deaths in Stanford study

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CNN
A Trump rally crowd cheers the president in Minneapolis.

STANFORD, California -- A study conducted by Stanford University estimates that campaign rallies held by President Donald Trump likely caused 30,000 Covid-19 infections, resulting in 700 deaths.

According to the study outlined in the New York Times on Monday, these cases were not specifically from rally attendees - which means that attendees could have spread the virus to others.

The study's authors relied on a statistical model that analyzed the virus' spread in communities where Trump held rallies. Researchers examined 18 rallies Trump held from June 20 to Sept. 22 to reach their conclusions.

A full copy of the Stanford study can be read by clicking here.

This university study is separate from a recent CNN analysis that found 82% of counties that hosted Trump rallies had Covid-19 spikes.

Its examination of 17 Trump campaign rallies found that 14 of the host counties -- 82% of them -- had an increased rate of new virus cases one month after the rally.

The 17 rallies occurred between August 17 and September 26, and analysts evaluated the rate of new daily cases per 100,000 residents at four weeks before the rally, on the rally date, and four weeks after the rally at the county level and at the state level.

Of the 14 host counties that had increased infection rates, eight of the counties had declining rates of infection in the month before the rally. The other six counties already had increasing rates of infection in that preceding month.

The analysis also found that in 10 counties, the new rates of infection were growing faster than the overall rate for the state.

Some of the rallies that were surveyed included the Trump campaign's September 12 rally in Minden, Nevada.

In the month before the rally, cases had begun to fall. But four weeks after the event, the rate of new cases in the county skyrocketed by 225%, outpacing the 74% increase the rest of the state experienced in the same time period.

The analysis also looked at the September 18 rally in Bemidji, Minnesota and found that while rates of infection had already been increasing in the month prior to the rally, the rate of infection in the county one month later had jumped by more than 385% and was greater than the state's rate of infection.

The analysis evaluated rallies in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida.

Article Topic Follows: Campaign 2020

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